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☆ Stocks waver, short-end U.S. yields rise after hawkish Fed statement
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"They're talking about higher rates for longer, but it's really the economy that matters. MSCI's U.S.-centric gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) fell 0.25% as stocks on Wall Street mostly slid. "Right now the message is we're going to leave rates higher for longer to make sure we slay the inflation dragon. Sterling came under pressure after data showed Britain's high inflation rate fell unexpectedly in August, prompting speculation that the Bank of England could pause its historic run of interest rate hikes as soon as Thursday. The dollar index rose 0.076%, with the euro down 0.02% to $1.0675.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Gennadiy Goldberg, it's, Anthony Saglimbene, Sterling, Brent, Herbert Lash, Dhara Ranasinghe, Samuel Indyk, Tom Westbrook, Toby Chopra, Chizu Nomiyama, Sharon Singleton, Aurora Ellis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Global, Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, TD Securities, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Bank of England, Bank of, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, MSCI's U.S, Troy , Michigan, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Britain, London, Singapore

☆ Investors look to AI-darling Nvidia's earnings as US stocks rally wobbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Robert Galbraith/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Bullish investors are hoping Wednesday's earnings report from chip heavyweight Nvidia (NVDA.O) can rejuvenate a U.S. stocks rally that has stumbled in recent weeks. The market's turbulence is intensifying focus on Nvidia's fiscal second quarter report, due after market close on Wednesday. Following that report, the S&P 500 technology sector (.SPLRCT) rallied 8% over the next five days. Signs that the central bank intends to hold rates around current levels for longer than investors had anticipated could further weigh on stocks. In a Monday note, Goldman analysts said an equal-weighted basket of those 11 stocks had returned 69% so far in 2023, outpacing a 7% gain for the overall equal-weight S&P 500.

Persons: Robert Galbraith, Anthony Saglimbene, Chuck Carlson, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Big Tech, Ameriprise, Reuters, Societe Generale, Horizon Investment Services, Nasdaq, Federal, NVDA, Goldman, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, outpacing, New York

☆ Big tech losses sink Nasdaq, S&P as US Treasury yields rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( David French | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

It was the first time in 2023 that the Nasdaq fell for two straight weeks. The S&P 500 ended the week down 0.3%, with the Nasdaq 1.9% lower. Yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note , that moves in line with near-term interest rate expectations, climbed to 4.88%. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid//File PhotoMegacap growth and technology stocks have led outsized gains this year in the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) and the S&P 500 (.SPX). The S&P 500 posted 4 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 169 new lows.

Persons: Refinitiv, We've, Jason Betz, Brendan McDermid, Ameriprise's Betz, Rupert Murdoch, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, David French, Shashwat Chauhan, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Ameriprise, Inc, Microsoft, Nvidia, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, International Energy Agency . Occidental Petroleum Corp, U.S, News Corp, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York City, JD.com, Bengaluru, New York

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Sluggish US earnings may need pick-me-up to support 2023 stock rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. The S&P 500 (.SPX) has edged higher since earnings season began in July, with the benchmark index up 16% in 2023. Third-quarter S&P 500 earnings are seen rising 1.3% on a year-over-year basis, according to Refinitiv, before a 9.7% fourth-quarter earnings rise and a 11.9% full-year increase in 2024. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsMeanwhile, the S&P 500 has become more richly valued. Q2 RESULTSWith 91% of S&P 500 companies having reported second-quarter results, 78.7% posted earnings above analysts' expectations, according to Refinitiv IBES.

Persons: Mike Segar, Eric Freedman, Refinitiv, Anthony Saglimbene, Julian Emanuel, Evercore, Emanuel, John Lynch, Ned Davis, Comerica's Lynch, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Stock, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Credit Suisse, Ameriprise Financial, Comerica Wealth Management, Apple, Walmart, Ned Davis Research, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S

☆ Nasdaq, S&P end lower as rising US Treasury yields sink big tech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( David French | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 12, 2023. It was the first time this year that the Nasdaq notched two weekly losses in a row. Megacap growth and technology stocks have led outsized gains this year in the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) and the S&P 500 (.SPX). According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 4.52 points, or 0.10%, to end at 4,464.31 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) lost 73.83 points, or 0.54%, to 13,647.20. The energy sector's increase was aided by crude prices rising on forecasts for tightening supplies from the International Energy Agency.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Refinitiv, We've, Jason Betz, Ameriprise's Betz, Rupert Murdoch, JD.com, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, David French, Shashwat Chauhan, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Ameriprise, Microsoft, Nvidia, Dow Jones, University of Michigan, International Energy Agency . Occidental Petroleum Corp, U.S, News Corp, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru, New York

☆ Shares, dollar gains after moderate US CPI data
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The consumer price index (CPI) gained 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said, lifting the annualized rate to 3.2% from 3% in June. The pace of core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, slowed to 4.7% in July from 4.8% the prior month. But investors remained cautious as another CPI report and jobs data await Fed policymakers before their next meeting in September. MSCI's gauge of stock performance across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.38%, while the pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.79%. Gold prices ticked up after the U.S. inflation data on speculation the Fed is at the end of its rate hike cycle.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Russell Price, Price, Brad Bechtel, Brad Conger, Callaghan, Brent, Herbert Lash, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Edwina Gibbs, Sam Holmes, Susan Fenton, Alexandra Hudson, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Global, Labor Department, Reuters, Fed, Ameriprise, FX, Jefferies, Co, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Troy , Michigan, Conshohocken , Pennsylvania, CHINA, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London

However, according to Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, these are all reasons to be a "little cautious" following the busiest week for earnings. All reasons to get a little cautious on the market," Slimmon told CNBC's Squawk Box Asia Thursday. Microsoft and Alphabet kicked off earnings season last week for the mega-caps, while Apple and Amazon are set to report this week. "I am not negative on the mega-cap tech stocks," Slimmon said, acknowledging Microsoft's strong results . Slimmon pointed out that the broadening of investors' interests is also likely at play, adding further selling pressure to Big Tech stocks.

Persons: Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, CNBC's, MSFT, there's, Slimmon's isn't, Janet Yellen, Morgan Stanley, steelmaker Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Microsoft, Apple, Big Tech, Dow Jones, United, Treasury, Corp, JPMorgan, Ameriprise Locations: China, U.S

☆ Morning Bid: Tech splits, banks merge and Fed decides
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Unlucky for some perhaps, but a 13th today would make it the longest winning streak for the Dow since 1987. Meta Platforms (META.O) is up next after Wednesday's closing bell and its share rose 2%. Wells Fargo (WFC.N), meantime, climbed 2.8% after the bank's board authorized a new $30 billion share buyback program. The Fed decision comes in the wake of another set of forecast-beating U.S. consumer confidence readings for July. Elsewhere, the European earnings season was in full swing too, with banks dominating the diary and the European Central Bank meeting tomorrow.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Dow Jones, Wells Fargo, Kazuo Ueda, Jerome Powell, Molina, Rollins, Edwards, John Stonestreet Organizations: Microsoft, Dow, Netflix, Google, Federal Trade Commission, European Central Bank, Deutsche Bank, Bank of Japan, HK, . Federal, eBay, Boeing, General Dynamics, Seagate, Union Pacific, CME, Hilton Worldwide, Lam Research, Water Works, United Rentals, Otis, Treasury, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wall, Nasdaq, California, Lam, Everest

☆ US stocks rise on earnings outlook, global shares dip on China data
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 12, 2023. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led U.S. stocks higher, supported by megacap growth stocks including Apple, Nvidia and Tesla, ahead of quarterly results from industry heavyweights later this week. Second-quarter earnings are expected to decline 8.1%, according to Refinitiv data, down further than the 5.7% decline expected at the start of the month. Data on U.S. retail sales are expected to show a rise of 0.3% ex-autos, continuing the slower trend but solid enough to fit into the market's soft-landing theme. Futures are pricing in an additional 32 basis points of tightening this year, with the benchmark rate expected to peak at 5.40% in November.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, it's, Anthony Saglimbene, James Ragan, Brent, Herbert Lash, Karen Brettell, Amanda Cooper, Wayne Cole, Lincoln, Christina Fincher, Barbara Lewis, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Tesla Inc, Bank of America Corp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Netflix Inc, Dow Jones, Fed, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Oil, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Troy , Michigan, Davidson, Seattle, Europe, New York, London, Sydney

☆ Global shares dip after China data; US stocks gain
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 12, 2023. The tech-heavy Nasdaq led U.S. stocks higher, supported by megacap growth stocks including Apple and Tesla, ahead of quarterly results from industry heavyweights later this week. Stocks in Europe closed lower, with the pan-regional STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) down 0.63% while MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS), which is heavily weighted to U.S. megacap stocks, edged higher by 0.14%. Futures are pricing in an additional 32 basis points of tightening this year, with the benchmark rate expected to peak at 5.40% in November. U.S. crude fell $1.27 to settle at $74.15 per barrel and Brent settled down $1.37 at $78.50.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, it's, Anthony Saglimbene, James Ragan, Brent, Herbert Lash, Karen Brettell, Amanda Cooper, Wayne Cole, Lincoln, Christina Fincher, Barbara Lewis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, YORK, Nasdaq, Apple, Tesla, Tesla Inc, Bank of America Corp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Netflix Inc, Dow Jones, Fed, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Sterling, Bank of England, CBA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Troy , Michigan, Davidson, Seattle, Europe, New York, London, Sydney

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Lofty valuations on US stocks a growing worry for investors
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 now trades at 19 times its expected 12-months earnings, well above its historic average of 15.6 times, Refinitiv Datastream showed. WFII recently downgraded the technology sector, which has led this year's S&P 500 rally, to "neutral" from "favorable," citing "unattractive" valuations. Goldman urged investors to consider "downside protection" to their stock portfolios, though they expect the S&P 500 to reach 4,500 by year-end, or about 3.5% above current levels. Valuations are even more stretched for the Nasdaq 100 (.NDX), whose 36% rally this year has dwarfed that of the S&P 500. "From a near-term perspective, investors should expect stocks to just cool a little bit."

Persons: Refinitiv Datastream, Goldman Sachs, Sameer Samana, WFII, Goldman, Refinitiv, Michael Purves, Purves, Anthony Saglimbene, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Tallbacken Capital, Deutsche Bank, Ameriprise, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Is it too late to join the market rally? Morgan Stanley's Slimmon weighs in and names stocks to buy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Andrew Slimmon of Morgan Stanley Investment Management says a "meaningful" correction may not happen right now. "But it's premature and the stock market is right now feeding off … those lower inflation month to month price," Slimmon added. Stock picks Nevertheless, there are pockets of opportunity in the market right now, according to Slimmon. He named three stocks to buy: American equipment rental company United Rentals , financial services company Ameriprise and building materials company CRH . "In my opinion, investors looking to get into the market will view the recent laggards as an opportunity to get more invested," he said of those three stocks.

Persons: it's, Andrew Slimmon, CNBC's, There's, you've, Slimmon, there's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, U.S . Federal, Federal Reserve, Stock, United Rentals Locations: bullish

☆ Cramer's Lightning Round: Sell ImmunoGen and take the gain
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Immunogen's year-to-date stock performance. ImmunoGen : "Yeah, it had a good read out at the ASCO conference, we've been waiting for that cancer drug to pay off, and it actually did. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Ameriprise's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon inTest's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Southern Co.'s year-to-date stock performance.

Persons: we've, I've Organizations: Southern, Southern Co

The S&P 500 (.SPX) index closed flat but remained near its highest level since August 2022, just above 4,200 points. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were still set for monthly gains in May. Over the weekend, U.S. President Joe Biden and Republican House of Representatives Speaker Kevin McCarthy agreed to temporarily suspend the debt ceiling and cap some federal spending. But I firmly believe a debt ceiling agreement will be approved before the June 5 drop dead date." Only four of the S&P 500's 11 sectors were higher, while declining stocks outweighed advancing shares on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Sam Stovall, Anthony Saglimbene, Thomas Hayes, FEDWATCH, Elon Musk, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Republican, Republicans, Nvidia Corp, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Digital, Federal, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Great, Capital, Labor, Thomson Locations: New York, Troy , Michigan, Philadelphia, China's, Beijing, Bengaluru

☆ Growing debt ceiling deal hopes send stocks higher
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX) rebounded from early declines on news that top U.S. congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy said a deal to raise or suspend the debt ceiling could potentially be reached in time to hold a House vote next week. On Wednesday, President Joe Biden and McCarthy reiterated their aim to strike a deal soon to raise the $31.4 trillion federal debt ceiling and agreed to talk as soon as Sunday. The debt ceiling has drawn attention away from uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.14-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 27 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 88 new highs and 83 new lows.

☆ What Is a W-4 and How Do I Fill Mine Out?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.wsj.com time to read: +14 min

How Form W-4 has changedIf you haven’t checked in on your W-4 lately, you’ll want to take a gander, says Pete Isberg, an executive with payroll provider ADP. That’s because Form W-4 was overhauled in 2020 based on changes passed in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act a few years earlier. At the top of the W-4 form, you enter your personal information and filing status. If you have multiple jobs, you’ll use Step 2(b)—Multiple Jobs Worksheet, which is found on page 3 of Form W-4. So after you file your Form 1040 tax return, your W-4 form updates should be next.

Traders had been betting that process would be relatively quick, allowing the Fed to reverse course and start easing the policy rate, now in the 5.00%-5.25%, as early as September. Friday's Labor Department report showing employers added 253,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate fell to 3.4% put those expectations in doubt. "The Fed still has some work to do and the job market’s hot," said Ameriprise FInancial's chief market strategist Anthony Saglimbene. But by far the bigger bet is for the Fed to stand pat next month, and overall traders left bets on a September start to rate cuts intact. By December the Fed will have dropped its benchmark rate to about 4.2%, interest-rate futures prices suggest.

☆ Instant View: Solid April US jobs report undermines case for Fed cut soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, TROY, MICHIGAN“It's definitely telling you that the job market is still hot. PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK“It was a hotter than expected report, it certainly didn’t show any cooling in the labor market. Hourly earnings were a little higher than I was looking for.”“Bottom line, this is a strong report and shows that the labor market is resilient. So I think the real focus is on the inflation numbers, and what's happening with wage growth. We are hopeful the continued strength of the jobs market and signs of slowing inflation will ease market volatility in the coming months.

The insurance company posted 84 cents in adjusted earnings per share and $1.11 billion in revenue. However, the company's $592.2 million quarterly revenue fell below the $593.9 million anticipated by Wall Street. Although the company's quarterly adjusted earnings and revenue topped analysts' expectations, investors may have been disappointed in its muted full-year outlook. Danaher's GAAP operating profit of $1.79 billion fell below analysts' estimates of $2.12 billion, according to FactSet. General Motors — Shares fell 3.3% after the automaker lowered its guidance for net income attributable to stockholders in 2023.

☆ Morning Bid: Tech tally in focus, China alarms Europe
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Otherwise, a packed earnings season dominates this week's investment radar as more than a third of S&P500 companies report. Including Intel (INTC.O), those five tech stocks have accounted for two-thirds of the S&P500's gains this year - with the Artificial Intelligence craze sparked by the emergence of ChatGPT adding a new non-cyclical attraction to the sector. But before markets get a taste of Q1 tech profits, the reverberations from last month's banking blow-up are still being absorbed. European stocks were slightly negative and U.S. stock futures also marginally in the red ahead of Wall Street's open. The dollar was mixed - up against Asian currencies but off against European currencies amid hawkish European Central Bank soundings on interest rates.

AT&T (T.N) shares dropped 10.4% after the wireless carrier missed market estimates for first-quarter revenue and free cash flow. The S&P 500's rally to start the year is set to be tested by a first-quarter earnings season that investors expect to show tepid results. “The market has been overbought for the last week or two," said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. In other earnings news, American Express Co (AXP.N) profit missed Wall Street estimates and its shares fell 1%. Shares of Lam Research (LRCX.O) rose 7.2% after the chip-making equipment supplier's revenue topped estimates, while shares of D.R.

☆ Dollar, stocks slip after Fed minutes spur recession fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Fed staff assessing the potential fallout of banking stress projected a "mild recession" later this year. But the minutes showed policymakers ultimately agreed to higher interest rates as data at the time showed few signs of inflation pressures abating. Money markets initially trimmed expectations for a Fed rate hike in May, pricing in a 65.2% chance of a 25-basis-point move, CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) closed down 0.08%, while the pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.13%. The dollar fell with an index measuring the U.S. currency against six peers down 0.558%.

☆ VIEW US payrolls rise moderates in March, participation rate firms
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 236,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. Data for February was revised higher to show 326,000 jobs were added instead of 311,000 as previously reported. That also should ease pressure in the job market and help overall growth in the months and quarters ahead." “The overall headline view is that everything is remarkably in line with expectations. "The Fed will look positively on a further rise in participation to a new cycle high 62.6%, while a renewed drop in unemployment to 3.5%, coupled with continued healthy headline jobs growth, should cement the case for another 25 bps rate hike at the May meeting."

☆ Analysis-Investors cautious on U.S. stocks, even though Fed hikes may soon end
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks fell on Wednesday, with the benchmark S&P 500 closing down 1.65% after swinging between gains and losses during Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference following the meeting. Futures markets are now pricing a Fed funds rate of around 4.25% by year-end, compared with the range of 4.75% to 5% that took effect on Wednesday. A drop in Treasury yields from recent highs has also given a tailwind to stocks, especially to big tech and growth names that are heavily weighted in the S&P 500. Corporate profits are another potential trouble spot, with S&P 500 earnings expected to post year-over-year declines in the first and second quarters after falling 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Refinitiv IBES. “I don’t think the market is going off to the races,” said James Ragan, director of wealth management research at D.A.

☆ Analysis: Investors cautious on U.S. stocks, even though Fed hikes may soon end
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Stocks fell on Wednesday, with the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) closing down 1.65% after swinging between gains and losses during Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference following the meeting. Futures markets are now pricing a Fed funds rate of around 4.25% by year-end, compared with the range of 4.75% to 5% that took effect on Wednesday. US stock market during the Fed's hiking cycleUNCERTAIN OUTLOOKStocks have been resilient this year in the face of uncertainty, with the S&P 500 up 2.5% since the end of 2022. A drop in Treasury yields from recent highs has also given a tailwind to stocks, especially to big tech and growth names that are heavily weighted in the S&P 500. Corporate profits are another potential trouble spot, with S&P 500 earnings expected to post year-over-year declines in the first and second quarters after falling 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Refinitiv IBES.

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